Tuesday, February 26, 2008

Michigan and Florida: If Hillary Succeeds

If Senator Hillary Clinton receives the delegates she wants in Michigan and Florida, Clinton will be close to Senator Barack Obama in the delegate count in the race for the Democratic Presidential Nomination. However, Senator Barack Obama will maintain his lead, but only slightly.


If delegates are allowed from Michigan in the Democratic National Convention, Hillary Clinton will receive 73 delegates, and Obama will potentially receive 55. “Potentially” because Obama’s name was not on the ballot during the election. Including Super delegates from Michigan, Hillary Clinton wins the support of seven Super delegates. Obama receives the support of only one.

With the delegates added altogether Clinton will receive 80 total delegates.
Obama will potentially receive 56 total delegates.


If the Florida delegates are allowed to be seated in Denver at the Democratic National Convention, Clinton will receive the support of 105 delegates. Barack Obama will receive the support of 67 delegates. John Edwards, who suspended his campaign after losing the South Carolina primary, will win 13 delegates at the Democratic National Convention. With Super delegates in Florida, Hillary Clinton will receive the support of seven Super delegates. Barack Obama will receive the support of four Super delegates.


In Florida, Hilary Clinton will, in total, receive 112 delegates.
Barack Obama will be awarded 71 delegates.


If the delegates in both Michigan and Florida were allowed to be seated today, and before the March 4th primaries, the total number of delegates will be as followed:


CLINTON: 1461
OBAMA: 1487


It is difficult to tell how accurate this number actually is, since 55 uncommitted delegates would potentially represent Barack Obama, but this is not certain. Also, this number should not represent the consensus of either state, since many voters abstained from voting for a nominee knowing their votes would not be included in the race for the presidential nominee.




Written by Robert Bettis. Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

1 comment:

Suzanne said...
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